Foreshock
IndexOtherNo. 5 emerging

Suicide by firearm

Suicide method

52×
vs its own baseline
64×
year on year
+84.8%
per month, last 90 days
79
confidence / 100
Share of all English Wikipedia traffic · weekly 104 weeks to 2 Sep 2026 Normalised — sitewide swings removed

Why we think this is real

Six tests · all shown, pass or fail

The floor moved, not just the peak

Its quietest recent week still sits 881% above the old baseline. A news spike leaves the floor where it was.

9.81×

Not one event

Share of the last four months of extra attention that landed in its busiest seven days. High means a single story, not a trend.

38%

Not the calendar

How much of this topic's shape repeats every year. The annual cycle is estimated per topic and divided out before anything is measured.

30%

Human traffic

Bot and scraper traffic is flat across the week. Anything with implausibly low day-to-day variation, or with no weekday/weekend pattern at all, is dropped before it reaches this page.

0.92× weekend

Enough history to judge

Long enough to separate this year's move from last year's level.

2071 days

Confirmed somewhere else

No second source yet. Common for consumer and culture topics, which do not show up in developer data.

0 of 4 sources

What it is

Wikipedia

In the United States, suicide by firearm is the most lethal method of suicide, resulting in a fatality 90% of the time, and is thus the leading cause of death by suicide as of 2017. Worldwide, firearm prevalence in suicides varies widely, depending on the acceptance and availability of firearms in a culture. The use of firearms in suicides ranges from less than 10% in Australia, to 50.5% in the U.S., where it is the most common method of suicide.

Near this on the curve

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vs baseline
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vs baseline
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vs baseline
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vs baseline
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26×
vs baseline
emerging