foreshock
IndexPolitics & SocietyNo. 38 emerging

Opinion polling for the 2026 Israeli legislative election

+310%
vs its own baseline
year on year
+22.9%
per month, last 90 days
81
confidence / 100
3k 13k 22k 32k where it used to sit Nov 25 Jan 26 Mar 26 May 26 Jul 26 Sep 26
Attention share · views per billion sitewide, weekly 43 weeks to 2 Sep 2026 Normalised, deseasonalised — sitewide swings removed

Why we think this is real

Six tests · all shown, pass or fail

The floor moved, not just the peak

Its quietest recent week still sits 74% above the old baseline. A news spike leaves the floor where it was.

1.74×

Not one event

Share of the last four months of extra attention that landed in its busiest seven days. High means a single story, not a trend.

30%

Not the calendar

How much of this topic's shape repeats every year. The annual cycle is estimated per topic and divided out before anything is measured.

0%

Human traffic

Bot and scraper traffic is flat across the week. Anything with implausibly low day-to-day variation, or with no weekday/weekend pattern at all, is dropped before it reaches this page.

0.84× weekend

Enough history to judge

Long enough to separate this year's move from last year's level.

308 days

Confirmed somewhere else

No second source yet. Common for consumer and culture topics, which do not show up in developer data.

0 of 4 sources

What it is

Wikipedia

In the run up to the 2026 Israeli legislative election, various organisations are conducting opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Israel during the term of the twenty-fifth Knesset. This article lists the results of such polls. The date range for these opinion polls is from the 2022 Israeli legislative election, held on 1 November, to the present day. In keeping with the election silence law, no polls may be published from the end of the Friday before the election until the polling stations close on…

Excerpt from Opinion polling for the 2026 Israeli legislative election on Wikipedia, by its contributors, licensed CC BY-SA 4.0. Trimmed for length.

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